Thursday, August 20, 2020

Tropical Depression Could Form Soon in the Caribbean and it Might Track into the Gulf of Mexico Next Week

 weather.com meteorologists

Published: August 20,2020



A tropical disturbance in the Caribbean Sea may soon develop into a tropical depression, then faces an uncertain future that could include a track into the Gulf of Mexico next week.

This system, dubbed Invest 97L, is producing increasingly more organized showers and thunderstorms, along with gusty winds in the central Caribbean, or to the south of Jamaica.

(MORE: What Is an Invest?)

The National Hurricane Center has scheduled a Hurricane Hunter mission into the disturbance Thursday afternoon to take a closer look and see if the system has become a tropical depression or storm.

Potential Development Area

The National Hurricane Center has given this tropical wave a high chance of development through late week as it tracks into the northwestern Caribbean Sea.

Regardless of development, this system could bring at least some rainfall to Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula or parts of Central America by this weekend.

Beyond that, the forecast is highly uncertain. The system may either be pulled north, northwest or west across and the Gulf of Mexico next week. Or, the system could remain buried in Central America or southern Mexico with heavy rainfall.

It's simply too early to know if it will eventually pose a threat to other areas next week. All interests in the western Caribbean Sea and along the U.S. and Mexican Gulf Coasts should monitor the forecast closely. Check back frequently with us at weather.com for updates in the days ahead.

Model Forecast Tracks

The Weather Company’s primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM.

The Weather Company’s primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM.

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