Friday, October 4, 2019

Another brewing tropical system may aim for Eastern Asia in near future

Updated Oct. 4, 2019 1:12 PM



Following typhoons Tapah and Mitag that brought deadly impacts to eastern Asia for the second half of September, more tropical development is likely on the way.
An area of low pressure out in the open waters of the Western Pacific Ocean will move into an area of warm water and low wind shear late in the weekend and early next week.
"This low is expected to organize and strengthen into a tropical depression or tropical storm by early next week," said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dave Houk.
The region around the Mariana Islands, including Guam, has the greatest likelihood for development.
The islands should prepare for increasingly rough surf, as well as gusty winds and thunderstorms into early on Tuesday. The exact magnitude of these impacts will depend on the strength of the system as it passes the island.
Should the system reach tropical storm or typhoon strength, it would be given the name Hagibis.
The tropical system will be back over the open waters of the Pacific Ocean before the middle of the week, and even more strengthening is likely. The system is likely to reach typhoon strength on its path toward eastern Asia if it hadn't already.
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At the earliest, the system could make landfall in eastern Asia late next week. However, the exact track of the system and any factors that would stand in its path remain uncertain.
"Should the system reach land, it could be a formidable typhoon. Interest in the area should keep an eye on the forecast in the coming days," Houk added.
Check back with AccuWeather, as our meteorologists continue to track tropical systems as they develop across the Western Pacific as well as the other ocean basins across the world.

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