Saturday, June 27, 2020

Massive Saharan Dust Plume Will Spread Into the U.S. This Weekend As It Completes Its 5,000-Mile Journey From Africa

Chris Dolce and Jonathan Erdman
Published: June 26, 2020






A massive plume of dust from Africa's Sahara Desert is spreading into parts of the U.S. after traveling 5,000 miles across the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico.

Known as the Saharan Air Layer (SAL), this dry dust plume commonly forms from late spring through early fall and moves into the tropical Atlantic Ocean every three to five days, according to NOAA's Hurricane Research Division (HRD).

The HRD says the Saharan Air Layer is typically located between 5,000 and 20,000 feet above the Earth's surface. It is transported westward by bursts of strong winds and tropical waves located in the central and western Atlantic Ocean at altitudes between 6,500 and 14,500 feet.

The densest plume of dust began to emerge off western Africa last weekend and has now moved into the South. You can see the general area where the dust is located right now in the analysis below from NASA's GEOS-5 model.

Saharan Dust

Saharan dust tracks as far west as the Caribbean Sea, Florida and the Gulf of Mexico each year.

This particular dust event is unique because of its thickness over parts of the Caribbean Sea earlier this week. It had the highest concentrations of dust particles observed over Puerto Rico in at least the last 15 years, according to Dr. Olga Mayol of the Institute for Tropical Ecosystem Studies at the University of Puerto Rico.

Dust will continue to spread into parts of the U.S. through the weekend, where it might at least contribute to hazy skies. There could also be brilliant sunrises and sunsets.

The latest forecast below from NASA's GEOS-5 model shows the dust affecting parts of the South from now through Monday. Some of the dust could also spread as far north and west as portions of the Plains and Midwest.

Another plume of dust will also track across the Caribbean this weekend. Some of that dust might reach the U.S. Gulf Coast next week.

Poor air quality is another possible impact from the dust into this weekend. That can aggravate those suffering from respiratory issues such as asthma and COPD.

Air quality from parts of Texas, Kentucky and Indiana is forecast to be unhealthy for sensitive groups on Saturday, according to airnow.gov. Air quality alerts have been issued by the National Weather Service for parts of southern Louisiana due to the unhealthy air for Friday.

Air quality will also likely be reduced across parts of the South, and possibly the Midwest and mid-Atlantic on Saturday.

Rainfall from thunderstorms that form in the South through the weekend could also contain light amounts of dust. Some areas might see light coatings of the dust particles on surfaces once the rainfall evaporates.

What the Saharan Air Layer Means for Hurricane Season

Given the SAL is most common during hurricane season, research has been done on how it can affect the development of tropical storms and hurricanes. According to NOAA, some of the potential impacts to tropical development caused by the SAL include:

- The dry air can create downdrafts (sinking air) around tropical storms and hurricanes, which may result in the weakening of tropical cyclones.

- Strong winds associated with the SAL can contribute to increased vertical wind shear – the change in wind speed with height – which makes the environment hostile for tropical cyclone development.

- The role dust plays in tropical storm and hurricane intensity is not known. However, some research says it might impact cloud formation.

The early part of hurricane season is typically quiet in the tropical Atlantic. But this outbreak of dust along with unfavorable upper-level winds will likely put a lid on any significant tropical development in the near-term future.

The Weather Company’s primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM.

The Weather Company’s primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM.

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