Updated Nov. 28, 2019 10:11 AM
A strengthening typhoon will continue to approach the Philippines through the weekend, but it could deliver dangerous impacts during the first week of December.
As of Thursday night, local time, Kammuri was categorized as a typhoon with wind speeds of 130 km/h (80 mph). Kammuri is being referred to as Tisoy in the Philippines.
Satellite animation of Typhoon Kammuri approaching the Philippines on Tuesday night, local time. (RAMMB/Himawari-8)
Kammuri is expected to continue on a general northwesterly path through the end of the week. Overall, the environmental conditions in the waters of the Philippine Sea will be conducive for the system to strengthen over the next couple of days.
"A front moving through the waters just north of Kammuri will bring some wind shear to the region Friday and Saturday, which will likely inhibit strengthening for a short time," said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Adam Douty.
Once getting past this shear, the favorable strengthening conditions in the region will return. During this time, the main impact will be to those traveling in the Philippine Sea where dangerously rough seas are expected.
"It is likely that Kammuri could impact the Philippines as a powerful typhoon early next week," said Douty.
Should this be the case, damaging winds of more than 160 km/h (100 mph) will be possible near where Kammuri makes landfall.
A more expansive impact will be a lengthy period of heavy, tropical downpours, leading to flooding in the region as well as mudslides in the hilly terrain.
At this time, areas across the Philippines from Samar Island and northern Panay Island through Luzon are the most at risk for these impacts.
Once back over water in the South China Sea, the warm waters are conducive to keeping Kammuri together for a time. However, Kammuri will encounter less favorable conditions which will cause the storm to weaken dramatically or dissipate completely before reaching Vietnam or China.
Either way, rough seas will be expected in the South China Sea during the middle of next week.
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Behind Kammuri, there could be more development east of Guam this weekend or early next week. This system could be quite significant should the same areas of the Philippines be affected by two tropical systems within one week.
Keep checking back with AccuWeather as meteorologists continue to monitor the tropical activity in the Western Pacific Basin.
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