Updated Nov. 3, 2019 6:36 AM
The cold that has been confined to the northern Plains and even parts of the Midwest thus far this autumn will be replaced by winterlike air this week. Meanwhile, the persistent warmth has dominated much of the eastern United States through October will be replaced by chillier air.
After a mild September, parts of the Midwest and Plains experienced bursts of cold during October bringing the average temperature for the month to below normal.
In the coming week, a dip in the jet stream will allow for even more cold air to pour into parts of the northern Plains and the Midwest. And this could could persist through the first half of November.
"The core of the cold will be across the northern Plains," Paul Pastelok, AccuWeather's top long-range meteorologist, said.
Temperatures in the northern Plains and Midwest will spend much of the first couple of weeks of November around 10-15 degrees below normal.
The normal high temperature in Minneapolis is in the upper 40s for the beginning of November, and in Chicago is in the mid-50s during early November.
The cold air pushing across the Great Lakes will crank up the lake-effect snow machine for much of the region. Additionally, several storms could bring more opportunities for snow from the northern Plains to the Great Lakes.
While rounds of cold, snow and wind will create low RealFeel® temperatures across the northern tier at times.
Some of the most uncomfortable cold looks to take place Thursday morning, when AccuWeather RealFeel® temperatures may dip down into the single digits.
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A train of weak storm systems moving across the northern tier of the U.S. will also keep delivering cold shots, that have been confined to the Plains thus far, all the way to the East Coast.
"A couple of disturbances tracking farther south around the end of the first week of November can bring the potential for some snowflakes all the way to the mid-Atlantic coast," AccuWeather Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski said.
In the Northeast, the series of storms will usher in shots of reinforcing cold, and even some gusty winds. In between these bouts, temperatures will be allowed to rebound some for a day or two.
Temperatures across the northeastern U.S. will generally be 5-10 degrees below normal for the first few weeks of November.
Average high temperatures in early November range from the lower 50s in Buffalo to the lower 60s in Washington, D.C.
Multiple widespread freezes will occur across the Northeast and mid-Atlantic.
Only in the most urban areas, such as New York City may get lucky, and frosty conditions will stay away. However, just outside of these urban cores, it will get quite chilly.
Heavy jackets, hats, gloves and other apparel people use to stay warm will get plenty of use across the East during the first couple of weeks of November.
"The cold in much of the East is expected to ease toward the end of November. However, it looks to remain more persistent through the month in the Plains," Pastelok said.
AccuWeather long-range meteorologists predicted a warm fall for the eastern U.S. back in late July when the annual autumn forecast was released.
Download the free AccuWeather app to see the latest forecast for your region. Keep checking back for updates on AccuWeather.com and stay tuned to the AccuWeather Network on DirecTV, Frontier and Verizon Fios.
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