Hurricane Dorian slowed and reached Category 5 hurricane strength on Sunday morning. And with those shifts in strength and speed, its forecast track has been altered. As a result, AccuWeather now estimates the total damage and economic loss caused by Hurricane Dorian will be $8-10 billion, according to AccuWeather Founder and CEO Dr. Joel N. Myers, based on an analysis incorporating independent methods to evaluate all direct and indirect impacts of the storm based on a variety of sources.
Much of those costs are a result of losses to the travel and tourism industry, including canceled vacations, canceled flights, lost revenue to hotels, cruise lines diverted, and expenses in preparation for the storm. Possible flooding and storm surge to coastal areas in the Southeast will also be a factor. Citrus crop and vegetable damages could also occur.
With its change in track, Dorian now will be a 5 in the Bahamas and a 2 in the United States on the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Hurricanes.
Dorian is expected to remain a major hurricane through Monday as it passes very close to or over the northwestern Bahamas. A major hurricane is defined as a storm with maximum sustained winds of 111 mph or greater. Significant impacts are expected across the northern Bahamas as a result with significant, and potentially catastrophic wind damage and storm surge flooding.
The track forecast for later Monday into Tuesday is highly dependent on when Dorian takes a turn northward. The latest forecast has Dorian turning to the north prior to reaching the eastern coast of Florida on Tuesday, then traveling just off the Southeast coast through the middle of the week.
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