Tuesday, August 27, 2019

Tropical depression to strike Philippines into Wednesday, threaten China, Vietnam later this week

By Eric Leister, AccuWeather senior meteorologist



Jenny (Podul) in the Philippine Sea will unleash flooding rainfall and elevate the risk for mudslides across the northern Philippines into early Wednesday.
The storm, which is known as Jenny in the Philippines, is expected to push across eastern Luzon into Wednesday, local time. Jenny weakened to a tropical depression while just off the coast during Tuesday night.
The tropical cyclone has been given the name Podul by the Japan Meteorological Agency. This will also be the name used in other countries across eastern Asia.
Jenny Impacts
Landfall is forecast to occur Tuesday night, local time, between Dingalan and Dilasag.
Downpours increased across Luzon and northern Visayas on Tuesday ahead of the storm's arrival. More than 100 mm (4 inches) of rain fell across parts of Samar through Tuesday afternoon.
The heaviest rainfall will spread westward across the southern half of Luzon on Tuesday night.
These areas can expect 75-150 mm (3-6 inches) of rainfall with an AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 300 mm (12 inches) leading to significant flooding and a high risk for mudslides.
Jenny Tue midday satellite
This satellite image shows Tropical Storm Jenny approaching the Philippines midday Tuesday, local time. (Image/Himawari 8)
The heaviest rainfall in Manila is expected to last into Wednesday morning before drier weather returns during the afternoon hours.
A continued west-northwest track will take the storm quickly across northern Luzon and into the South China Sea by Wednesday.
A second tropical system is expected to develop in the Philippine Sea later this week and may track across the northern Philippines this weekend, bringing another round of flooding.
Podul Track
As the storm continues to track westward, conditions will improve dramatically across the Philippines by Wednesday afternoon.
Concerns will then shift to locations from northern Vietnam to southeastern China for late this week and weekend.
The depression is expected to strengthen once again as it tracks westward over the South China Sea from later Wednesday into Friday.
During this time, the tropical cyclone is expected to regain tropical storm status and may reach typhoon status prior to reaching land for a second time.
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A general west to west-northwestward track during this time will take the storm near or just south of Hainan, China, and then into northern Vietnam and northern Laos.
Landfall is possible in Hainan on Friday, followed by another landfall in northern Vietnam on Saturday.
The exact track of the storm will determine where the worst impacts occur, but locations from Hainan through the southern coast of Guangxi in China and from the border of China and Vietnam southward to Da Nang should be on alert for potential impacts from the storm.
Locations hardest hit by the storm can expect significant flooding and the risk of damaging winds and mudslides.

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