Much of US to experience break from major storms into early December

By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

November 23,2017, 2:42:01PM,EST

 

 There is good news for people with travel or outdoor plans the next couple of weeks as much of the nation will be free from the effects of major storms.

With the exception of the northwestern United States, the main storm track will reside over southern Canada.
The pattern into the first part of December will feature a tremendous lack of snow for the Central and Eastern states, aside from a few patches downwind of the Great Lakes.
The lack of snow may have some people struggling to get into the Christmas spirit but will make outdoor decorating and shopping much easier overall.

Fog drifts through a Christmas tree farm near Starks Mountain, Wednesday, Sept. 27, 2017, in Fryeburg, Maine. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)

"We expect a relatively fast west to east jet stream pattern," according to AccuWeather Long-Range Meteorologist Evan Duffey.
The jet stream is a river of air at the level where jets cruise. The jet stream is effectively the storm track.
"This fast flow will prevent any storm that moves inland from the Pacific Ocean to struggle to get moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic Ocean," Duffey said.
Even though most storms will travel north of the Canada border, some cold air will be able to filter southward into the northern tier of the U.S. in the wake of each storm.

One such batch of cold air will affect the Midwest and Northeast this weekend.
Some of the warmth that has built up over the West in recent days also will be pulled across the Midwest and East for a time next week.
While a press of chilly air will follow that warmth during the middle to latter part of next week, any thunderstorms marking the leading edge of that chilly air over the Plains and Midwest are unlikely to turn severe.
While there will be a weak, secondary storm track from the Gulf of Mexico to the western Atlantic, the southern and northern storm tracks are unlikely to merge and produce a giant storm in the Midwest and East into the first part of December.
This is not to say that a weak storm may tap just enough cold air to produce a narrow swath of snow for a day in part of the Midwest and Northeast. There is a remote chance of such an event later next week.
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Farther ahead, it is possible the main storm track changes later during the first week of December, according to AccuWeather Lead Long-Range Meteorologist Paul Pastelok.
"There is some indication that a storm track may develop from the central Rockies to the Upper Midwest around or after Dec. 5," Pastelok said.
If this pattern develops, lower-than-average temperatures may develop in the West, while warmth builds and above-average temperatures become more consistent in the East during the first half of December.
A mild and relatively snowless pattern into part of December may pose challenges for the ski industry and people who depend on income from snow removal.
However, many home and business owners may save some money on heating costs in parts of the Central and Eastern states prior to the official start of winter in late December.
AccuWeather's long-range team of meteorologists still expect colder air to take root over the North Central states during the second half of December. The number of storms and opportunities for snow in parts of the Midwest and interior Northeast are likely to ramp up during that time as well.

College football week 13: Rain to soak Apple Cup; Favorable conditions in store for Iron Bowl

By Katy Galimberti, AccuWeather staff writer

November 23,2017, 1:33:39PM,EST

 

 

The final week of the regular college football season is here with plenty of rivalry bragging rights and playoff bids at stake.
College GameDay will set up in Auburn, Alabama, as the Tigers take on the Crimson Tide for a major SEC battle.

Alabama running back Josh Jacobs runs the ball against Mercer defensive back Eric Jackson during the first half of an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Nov. 18, 2017, in Tuscaloosa, Ala. (AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)

The Apple Cup, featuring Washington State and Washington, pits two ranked teams against each other in a Pac-12 battle.
And of course, it wouldn't be rivalry week without a showdown between the Ohio State Buckeyes and Michigan Wolverines.
Take a look at the forecasts for this week's slate of pivotal college football games:
No. 2 Miami at Pittsburgh - Friday, 12 p.m. EST
The Hurricanes will take on ACC foe Pittsburgh this week and try to stay undefeated with a playoff berth on the line.

A chilly but dry and sunny day is in store at Heinz Field on Black Friday. Highs will rise to the mid-40s by kickoff.
Light winds won't have an impact on play. Temperatures will hover in the mid-40s throughout the game.
Baylor at No. 12 TCU - Friday, 12 p.m. EST
The Baylor Bears will travel to Fort Worth on Black Friday to play TCU.

It will be mostly sunny with a temperatures in the mid-60s by kickoff.
Temperatures will rise during the game, hitting above the 75-degree Fehrenheit mark by the fourth quarter.
South Florida at No. 15 UCF - Friday, 3:30 p.m. EST
This pivotal AAC matchup between the Bulls and Knights on Friday will decide who plays Memphis in the championship game next weekend.
A few showers or thunderstorms could impact pregame warmups, potentially leading to a delay. Rain could lead to slippery field conditions for the rest of the game.

However, by the time the game gets doing, the sky will be mostly cloudy. The high will hover in the mid-70s for the start of the game.
No. 7 Georgia at Georgia Tech - Saturday, 12 p.m. EST
In-state rivals Georgia and Georgia Tech will square off on Saturday with the Yellow Jackets looking for a major upset.

Conditions will be dry and favorable in Atlanta with a high near 60 by kickoff. Temperatures will rise into the mid-60s during the game.
Light winds shouldn't impact play.
No. 9 Ohio State at Michigan - Saturday, 12 p.m. EST
Ohio State is looking for their sixth straight win in "The Game" as they travel to Ann Arbor on Saturday.

It will be a dry, seasonable day with highs in the mid-40s throughout the game and a mix of sun and clouds. However, cross winds up to 25 mph will drag AccuWeather RealFeel® Temperatures down to the 30s.
The winds could impact kicking and passing play at times.
No. 1 Alabama at No. 6 Auburn - Saturday, 3:30 p.m. EST
College GameDay will set up at the Iron Bowl this weekend for a major SEC showdown.
Fans heading to watch GameDay in person will start off with temperatures in the upper 40s during the early morning hours, with a high near 60 by noon.

Dry conditions will persist as temperatures during the game will hover in the mid-60s at kickoff and fall to the mid-50s by the fourth quarter.
Light winds up to 12 mph won't have a major impact on play.
No 5. Wisconsin at Minnesota - Saturday, 3:30 p.m. EST
Wisconsin will try to stay undefeated this week with win against the Golden Gophers in Minneapolis with Paul Bunyan's Axe on the line.

Sunny and dry weather will greet fans at TCF Bank Stadium. A high in the mid-30s is in store by kickoff. However, winds will keep RealFeel temperatures in the 20s.
Winds up to 16 mph will gust at times.
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No. 10 Penn State at Maryland - Saturday, 3:30 p.m. EST
The Terrapins will take on the Nittany Lions at home in a Big 10 East matchup.
Highs will be in the 60s by kickoff in College Park on Saturday with a partly sunny sky overhead.

Temperatures will fall to the low 50s by the end of the game. Light winds won't impact play.
West Virginia at No. 4 Oklahoma - 3:45 p.m. EST
The Sooners host the Mountaineers this weekend as they try to stay in the playoff committee's top four teams.

A mild, dry day is in store in Norman with a high in the mid-60s by kickoff. RealFeel temperatures will drop to the mid-50s by the end of the game as wind gusts up to 16 mph kick up.
No. 3 Clemson at No. 24 South Carolina - Saturday, 7:30 p.m. EST
Palmetto state rivals will square off in Columbia this weekend as Clemson looks to hold onto a playoff spot.

Clear, sunny conditions are in store. Tailgaters will see highs in the upper 60s for much of the afternoon before the mercury falls near the 55-degree Fahrenheit mark by kickoff.
No. 8 Notre Dame at No. 21 Stanford - Saturday, 8 p.m. EST
The Fighting Irish will make their way to Palo Alto this week to take on the Stanford Cardinal.

It will be mostly dry for the matchup on Saturday with a mix of sun and clouds. Fans tailgating in the afternoon will enjoy highs in the 70s.
At kickoff, the temperature will fall to the upper 60s, hovering near 65 F throughout the game.
No. 13 Washington State at No. 7 Washington - 8 p.m. EST
The Apple Cup features two ranked teams this year as the Cougars travel to Seattle to take on the Huskies.
It will be a soggy game on Saturday with periods of rain throughout the day. Rain could be heavy at times in the evening, making for slippery field conditions.

The high at kickoff will reach into the low 50s with RealFeel temperatures settling in the low 40s during the game.

Showers, increasing seas to hamper search and rescue following US Navy plane crash in western Pacific

By Eric Leister, AccuWeather meteorologist

November 23,2017, 7:35:14AM,EST

 

 

A U.S. Navy transport plane crashed in the Philippine Sea on Wednesday on its way to the USS Ronald Reagan aircraft carrier.
Eight people have been rescued and are reported to be in good health following transport to the USS Ronald Reagan, according to the Associated Press.
The cause of the crash is being investigated. Japanese Minister of Defence Itsunori Onodera told reporters the U.S. Navy had informed him that the crash in the Philippine Sea may have been a result of engine trouble.

In this March 14, 2017, file photo, a U.S. Navy C-2 Greyhound approaches the deck of the Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson. A similar type of the U.S. Navy plane carrying 11 crew and passengers crashed into the Pacific Ocean on Wednesday, Nov. 22, 2017, while on the way to the USS Ronald Reagan aircraft carrier, the Navy said. (AP Photo/Lee Jin-man, File)

Three people remain missing as search and rescue operations continue around the area of the crash.
The crash occurred about 500 nautical miles southeast of Okinawa over the Philippine Sea at around 2:45 p.m. Japan time.
“A cold front moving into the search area will bring the threat for showers into Friday,” said AccuWeather Meteorologist Adam Douty.
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“Winds will increase to 15-25 mph during this time which will also cause rough seas at times,” added Douty.
The front will stall over the area into this weekend, continuing the threat for showers, gusty winds and rough seas.

Post-Thanksgiving travel: Snow may create slippery roads across Great Lakes; Storm to lash Northwest

By Renee Duff, AccuWeather meteorologist

November 23,2017, 12:01:48PM,EST

 

 As millions of Thanksgiving travelers head home this weekend, a majority of the United States will be free of weather-related disruptions with only a few trouble spots.

Folks heading to, from or who have connections through the Upper Midwest, interior Northeast and Pacific states will face the greatest risk of slower travel and delays this weekend.
Lake-effect snow may create travel hazards near Great Lakes
A brief period of lake-effect snow will fall from Saturday to Sunday as a fresh blast of cold air sweeps across the Midwest and Northeast.
The advancing chill will first be marked by showers across the northern Plains and western Great Lakes on Black Friday. The damp weather will mainly be a nuisance to shoppers and those getting a head start on the journey home.
As this system sweeps to the east, a burst of lake-effect snow will begin downwind of lakes Superior and Michigan early Saturday. Snow showers will then stream off lakes Erie and Ontario later in the day.

“For the most part, accumulating snow will occur in narrow zones and only affect a fraction of the region,” AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said. “A few inches of snow may fall where the bands of lake-effect snow persist.”
“Motorists venturing along portions of Interstate 75, I-79, I-80, I-81, I-90 and I-196 may encounter sudden changes in visibility due to snow squalls,” he added.
The snow will quickly end from west to east over the weekend.
Stormy pattern to persist along West Coast
The storm that will douse the Pacific Northwest with rain and wind on Thanksgiving will give way to relatively drier conditions on Black Friday.
However, a new storm is poised to arrive late Saturday into Sunday.

“Areas of Northern California that were missed by this week’s storms will receive soaking downpours by the latter half of the weekend,” AccuWeather Meteorologist Kyle Elliott said.
Motorists on stretches of I-5 may be forced to slow down to avoid hydroplaning. Airline passengers traveling to or from Seattle, Portland and San Francisco could face delays.
The threat of localized flooding will be highest in areas that were doused by storms this week.
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As chilly air invades with the storm, snow levels will drop by several thousand feet into Monday, causing rain to change to snow in the highest elevations of the Washington and Oregon Cascades, as well as the Sierra, according to Elliott.
The heaviest snow is expected to remain above pass level this weekend.
Florida to dry out in time for busy travel weekend
While downpours will dampen the Sunshine State into Black Friday, tranquil weather will return in time for the busy travel days this weekend.
Motorists from the Southwest to the Plains and Southeast will need to have sunglasses on hand as sun glare will be the main concern on the roadways.

Burst of cold air, lake-effect snow to motor across midwestern, northeastern US Thanksgiving weekend

By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

November 23,2017, 2:25:14PM,EST

 

 A quick dose of cold air with lake-effect snow will race across the Upper Midwest and into the northeastern United States this weekend.

While harsh conditions are forecast to hold off until after the Black Friday shopping rush in most locations, those heading out this weekend with hopes of avoiding big crowds will have to bundle up and some may have to drive over snow-covered roadways.

This weekend's cold episode will pale in comparison to the blast that hit on Nov. 9-11, when the lowest temperatures of the season so far were established.
However, the cold shot will follow a brief period of surging temperatures to end the week and may pack a shock as a result. It may feel 40 degrees colder from one day to the next.
Spotty rain showers may mark the leading edge of the cold air in some locations.
As the cold air takes root, a brief period lake-effect snow will develop. A few inches of snow may fall where the bands of lake-effect snow persist.

For the most part, accumulating snow will occur in narrow zones and only affect a fraction of the region. The snow may still pose problem for those traveling long distances.
Motorists venturing along portions of Interstate 75, I-79, I-80, I-81, I-90 and I-196 may encounter sudden changes in visibility due to snow squalls.
As is often the case, the burst of cold air will first invade the northern Plains and the upper Great Lakes region on Friday. Ahead of the cold shot, temperatures will climb into the 40s and 50s F from Chicago to Detroit and Cincinnati.
The lake-effect snow will first target the Upper Peninsula of Michigan and the western part of the Lower Peninsula of Michigan from late Friday to Saturday.
Saturday will be the colder of the two weekend days over the Upper Midwest as warmth will approach from the Plains as early as Sunday in some locations.
Gusty winds will add to the chill throughout the northeastern quarter of the nation.
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AccuWeather RealFeel® Temperatures will dip into the single digits and teens at times across the northern tier and the teens and 20s farther south over the lower Great Lakes and the Ohio Valley.
As the cold air rolls along, lake-effect snow is forecast to develop over parts of southwest Ontario, western and northern New York state, northern and western Pennsylvania and northeastern Ohio from later Saturday to Sunday.
There is a chance that a brief snow shower will reach as far south as Washington, D.C., Baltimore, Philadelphia, New York City and Boston by Sunday.
In the Northeast, by far, Sunday will be the colder of the two days this weekend.

RealFeel temperatures will range from the teens across the northern tier to the 20s to lower 30s over much of the mid-Atlantic on Sunday. The cold feel will follow Saturday highs in the 50s to near 60 along the I-95 corridor.
Away from the traditional snow belts near the Great Lakes, most of the region can expect good travel conditions for the journey home this weekend.
A substantial warmup, that may last a few days, will progress from the North Central states to the Northeast next week.

Weather to improve on Friday for Argentina submarine search and rescue

By Eric Leister, AccuWeather meteorologist

November 23,2017, 12:22:22PM,EST

 

 

The ARA San Juan submarine which last made contact with the Argentine Navy on 15 November is still missing.
The Argentina government reported on Thursday that a sound detected in the missing submarine search is consistent with an explosion.
While conditions were favorable for search and rescue on Tuesday and Wednesday, a storm brought hazardous weather on Thursday.
Search and rescue teams will have to endure occasional rain along with strong winds and rough seas which will create poor visibility into Thursday night.

Improved weather is expected from Friday into the weekend as the storm departs and high pressure builds north of the search area.
This area of high pressure will shield the region from any storms systems and result in dry weather.
Seas will lower to 1-3 meters (3-10 feet) across the search area while wind gusts peak at 30-50 km/h (20-30 mph).
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A ship leaves a Naval base to join the search for missing submarine ARA San Juan, in Mar del Plata, Argentina, Monday, Nov. 20, 2017. Authorities last had contact with submarine ARA San Juan on Wednesday as it was on a voyage from the extreme southern port of Ushuaia to the city of Mar del Plata. (AP Photo/Marina Devo)

The ARA San Juan has 44 crew on board, according to the Associated Press.
Admiral Gabriel Gonzalez stated Monday that the submarine reported an unspecified breakdown early Wednesday before contact was lost.
Argentine Navy spokesman Enrique Balbi said that the relatives of the crew have been informed of the possible explosion and that the search will continue until there is full certainty about the fate of the ARA San Juan.
Fears have escalated as the submarine would only have seven to ten days of oxygen without surfacing.

This Date in Weather History for November 23,2017 from weatherforyou.com

Weather History
For Thursday,November 23,2017

 

 

 

 

1909 - Rattlesnake Creek was deluged with 7.17 inches of rain in 24 hours to establish a record for the state of Idaho. (The Weather Channel)

1943 - Northern New Hampshire was in the grips of a record snowstorm which left a total of 55 inches at Berlin, and 56 inches at Randolph. The 56 inch total at Randolph established a 24 hour snowfall record for the state. In Maine, Middle Dam received a record 35 inches of snow in 24 hours. (David Ludlum)

1987 - Rain and gale force winds prevailed along the Northern Pacific coast. Quillayute, WA, received 1.57 inches of rain in 24 hours, including nine tenths of an inch in six hours. Heavy snow fell over northern Oregon and the Cascade Mountains of Washington State. Temperatures began to moderate in the eastern U.S. following a bitterly cold weekend. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Low pressure crossing the Great Basin brought wintry weather to parts of the western U.S. Up to a foot of snow blanketed Yellowstone Park, and winds gusted to 70 mph at casper WY, and reached 95 mph near Reno NV. Up to seven inches of rain was reported in the Grass Valley and Nevada City area of California. Paradise CA was soaked with 5.37 inches of rain in 24 hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Low pressure tracking across the Carolinas brought heavy rain to parts of the Southern Atlantic Coast Region for Thanksgiving Day, and blanketed the Middle Atlantic Coast States and southern New England with heavy snow. The storm produced up to nine inches of snow over Long Island NY, and up to 14 inches over Cape Cod MA, at Yarmouth. Totals of 4.7 inches at New York City and 6.0 inches at Newark NJ were records for Thanksgiving Day, the 8.0 inch total at Providence RI was a record for any given day in November, and the 6.5 inch total at Strasburg CT was a record for the month of November as a whole. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

2004 - An outbreak of severe thunderstorms produced reports of 54 tornadoes across portions of Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas and Alabama. In Texas's Hardin county, one person was killed with three injured when a tornado struck during the afternoon (Associated Press).

This Date in Weather History for November 22,2017 from weatherforyou.com

Weather History
For Wednesday,November 22,2017

 

 

 

1641 - An observer at Boston, MA, recorded a great tempest of wind and rain from the southeast all night, as fierce as a hurricane, and thereupon followed the highest tide which we have seen since our arrival here . (David Ludlum)

1957 - Extremely destructive Santa Ana winds blew from Oxnard to San Diego and inland parts of southern California. The high winds produced a 28,000 acre brush fire on a 40-mile front west of Crystal Lake. People were ordered off streets in some areas due to flying debris. (21st-22nd) (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Eight cities in the eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Elkins, WV, reported a low of 5 degrees above zero. Gale force winds continued along the Northern Atlantic Coast. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Wet and windy weather prevailed across the western U.S., with heavy snow in some of the higher elevations. Winds gusted to 62 mph at Vedauwoo WY, and reached 75 mph at Tillamook OR. Shelter Cove CA was drenched with 4.37 inches of rain in 24 hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Strong northerly winds produced squalls along the shore of Lake Michigan, with heavy snow in extreme southeastern Wisconsin. Milwaukee WI received nine inches of snow, and in Racine County there were more than one hundred automobile accidents. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)